Trusted by businesses worldwide from commercial lenders to global manufacturers we strive to be at the forefront of our industry, providing superior risk intelligence that your business can thrive on. With decades worth of experience, our International Analytics Team have been developing, testing and validating a number of new country scorecards for markets across Europe, including the UK and Ireland.
Higher level of predictability
Our scores confidently measure the probability of a company failing up to 12 months in advance.
Additional data analysed
Thousands of data sources are combined and evaluated to provide instant and transparent scores on each business.
Understand tricky businesses
We shed more light on businesses with limited information available such as non-limited companies, allowing you to make more confident decisions.
More business opportunities
By increasing the power of the scorecard, your business can benefit from exposure to more opportunities without having to increase its exposure to risk.
To increase the discriminative power of the scorecard, population segmentation is conducted. The aim of the segmentation is to define a set of sub-populations that, when modelled individually and combined, rank risk more effectively than a single model on the overall population in each country.
The UK government previously introduced the term "micro-entity" as a sub-set to the Companies House business classifications. The individual filing requirements for these businesses are reflected in the scorecard with their own individual scoring model.
Our 7 business segments now include;
Find out more about our UK scorecard on the Help Hub.
A scorecard change can impact every business differently and we are on hand to help you navigate any adjustments. Our Account Managers are happy to provide additional resources and information. Book a call or consultation with your account manager below to find out more about the services we can offer.
From small local businesses to large multinational corporations, the factors that either influence or are indicative of a business' failure vary across businesses of different sizes and industry. To increase the predictability and stability of our scoring, Creditsafe segments all companies within a population based on the information available, its size and business type (as listed above).
Within each scorecard, the weighting that each factor has on the score will vary according to the statistical significance it shows in relation to a business failing within a 12 month period. Below we show some of the factors which are used to calculate the score under the new scorecard.
CCJs
Audit Qualification
Director Changes
Industry
Payment Data
Financials Filed
Linked Companies
Business Size
Predictability
Stability
Evaluation
The precision of the scorecard is vital to guarantee maximum exposure to opportunities whilst also minimizing the risk of bad debt. Of course, failing to recognize a business who is at risk of insolvency poses an immediate risk. However, falsely rejecting a potential customer means a loss of business and therefore poses a cost in itself.
The distinction between ‘good’ and ‘bad’ companies, i.e. companies with a high probability of insolvency, is the essential point of a good scoring model.
We are able to predict a higher rate of insolvencies than before, as well as increase your opportunities with the same credit score cut off point.
It is important that our scorecard holds accurate for the foreseeable future and not only for the time period of the initial analysis. To ensure this we conducted out-of-time validation (OoT) over several historical periods. In order to exclude any seasonal effects, the OoT was carried out in addition to different seasons. This enables us to confidently verify the scorecard's stability and accuracy.
The scorecard is validated on a monthly basis in order to be able to make reliable predictions on an ongoing basis. Market conditions will naturally change during the lifetime of a scorecard, therefore we continually monitor these changes. As a result, we can identify any changes in the factors which indicate future insolvency and, if necessary, adjust the weighting of variables within the scorecard accordingly.
Creditsafe's more robust scorecard strengthens our ability to continually assess the predictability of variables and adapt the model in line with economic changes.
As we draw closer to the launch of each scorecard we will be sharing an executive summary of the individual scorecards with details of the segmentation applied, the definition of failure and risk bandings.
As each document is launched, you will be able to download them by clicking the PDF icon containing the country flag in full colour.
Q3 2019
Q4 2023
Q4 2019
Q2 2024
Q4 2019
Q1 2025
Q2 2021
Q2 2022
Q3 2022
No, we have not changed scorecards for all countries.
We are launching new scorecards for a number of countries and any updates will be added to this page.
You will NOT need to make any changes to your Creditsafe account, app or API when the new scorecard is launched. All changes will be implemented automatically.
It is perfectly normal for Credit Reference Agencies to update and change their scorecards every now and again. As new information becomes available, we must seize the opportunity to utilise this data and improve predictability further.
We must also be vigilant in tracking marketplace trends and make sure that our predictive models are reflective of current developments. With constant changes to economic, social and political climates, some of the indicators that are predictive of failure today are likely to change in the years to come.
Creditsafe continually enhances our scorecards to reflect the current risk factors that have emerged within the local economies. Assessing the entire business population, we have refined and confirmed what indicators commonly hold for commercial stability, and what is predictive of a company heading into hardship
The Creditsafe scorecards are built to assess the entire business population of the country in question, utilising Creditsafe owned data as well as third party data.
Our assessment of this data produces a score which reflects the likelihood of business failure within the next 12 months. In addition, the Limit Solution is designed to offer a recommended maximum amount of credit to be extended to this business based on numerous financial factors.
Our scorecards are built to compliment any business, however, we do also offer bespoke analytical services. Naturally, all businesses have unique business models, strategies and objectives. In order to help businesses gain greater clarity over their commercial landscape and opportunities, our world-leading analytical team have been commissioned to build a number of bespoke analytical models for companies in many countries.
For further details on our bespoke services please reach out to your dedicated account manager.